Latest Senate Polls: Good News, Bad News, and Uncertainty for GOP in Key Races
Virtually all 2014 polling has shown independents breaking heavily for the GOP.
This isn't exactly a keen insight, but it's going to come down to turnout. Republican-leaning voters are much more fired up to vote this year, and history shows that the president's terrible approval ratings should be a big drag on his party. Neither NBC nor the Q-Poll used a likely voter screen, which very well could tilt the results to the right. Then again, Colorado Democrats have repeatedly demonstrated their ability to turn out their victory coalition in statewide races. Republicans haven't won a major Colorado statewide office (governor or senator) in a decade.
In Iowa, a brand new Senate poll shows the race knotted at 43 percent apiece -- with Joni Ernst pulling even with Democrat Bruce Braley. Iowa has never elected a woman to its Congressional delegation, and Ernst is looking to change that. If this exchange is any preview of his attitudes toward professional women, Braley may not be able to hide his contempt for Ernst during debates. Braley leads among women by seven points, with Ernst outpacing her male opponent with men by roughly the same margin.
In Arkansas, a new poll shows Rep. Tom Cotton opening up an eight-point lead over incumbent Sen. Mark Pryor. It's the fourth consecutive poll showing Cotton ahead.Also read:
One horrible poll for Colorado's Democrat governor
Laura Ingraham to Campaign for Joe Carr in Tennessee GOP Primary
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